Rivo
LIVE ON SOMNIA TESTNETDREAMDEX INTEGRATED

Every price is a claim.
Check it before you take it.

DreamDEX says 67%. Nobody tells you whether contracts priced at 67% ever settled true about 67% of the time. Rivo does — against 2,179 contracts that have already settled, with the sample size attached to every answer. Nothing here needs a wallet to read.

No wallet. No account. Four of five pages open to anyone.

BTC · 1h14m 40s left
Will BTC close lower than it opened?
The book asks
14%
History settled
21%
The book is asking too little

Contracts priced in this band settled true 21% of the time, and you are being asked for 14%.

2,179
settled contracts measured
27.1%
better than guessing
7
agents judged live, none paid
1
model rejected — ours

Forecast vs Reality

A probability is just an opinion until scored. We measure every claim against historically settled contracts with hard data.

Execution Engine

7 distinct strategies shadow the live market, calculating the spread cross before making a decision.

AUC 0.8158 · ROS +2.80% REJECTED

Rivo’s own model failed its economic validation, and the gate enforces that rather than displaying it.

Capital Safe

A strategy’s verdict is computed before an executor is built, so a rejected one cannot reach a signer on any network.

On-Chain Evidence

Every decision and execution is written to an append-only ledger before it is signed, so a crash leaves a record rather than a gap.